Personally, I give us one chance in three.

4 seconds sound clip from the The Hunt for Red October movie soundboard.

You can hear this line at 00:48:41.614 in the Blu-ray version of the movie.

Quote context

[...]

- You had to do it, huh? You couldn't just turn the submarine over to the Americans. You had to make a political statement.

- Or... was it something deeper, Captain, something that made you unable to simply slip away? Was it ego, Captain?

- We each have our reasons, Victor. My own began the day I was handed the blueprints for this ship... a ship which had but one use.

- And as for the rest, well, those are things that I alone must carry the burden for.

- Anatoli, you're afraid of our fleet, hmm? Well, you should be.

- Personally, I give us one chance in three.

- No more tea, anyone? No? Then you may report back to your posts.

- You heard the captain. Dismissed.

- Captain, I would never disagree with you in front of the men... you know that, but in this case, Victor is right.

- It would've been better if you had not informed Moscow.

[...]